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The impact of seasonality on spare part demand for automobiles

https://doi.org/10.31660/2782-232X-2025-1-102-111

EDN: NUUAJS

Abstract

In structure of road transport operating costs, expenses for purchasing and storing spare parts can account for up to 45 %. Inventory management systems are most often based on analyzing past demand. A number of factors influence the range and quantity of spare parts needed: vehicle reliability, intensity and conditions of operation, demand, inventory availability at retail networks, and other considerations. At the enterprise level, the most significant criterion for inventory management is the total cost, which includes procurement, delivery and maintenance costs. This study revealed that there is no unified method for determining the optimal stock level of vehicle spare parts. The authors found that spare parts consumption is affected by operational intensity and vehicle reliability, as well as seasonal variations. Analysis of statistical data confirmed the seasonal dependence of spare parts stock levels. This dependence can be described by a harmonic model. It was found that there are some shifts in extreme values depending on the spare part group within a single season. More accurate accounting for these shifts can reduce inventory holding costs. The proposed approach to adjusting spare parts stock level norms in the warehouse will reduce the storage period of spare parts and, consequently, increase the efficiency of inventory management. Based on the studied statistical data, this efficiency is justified by a reduction in inventory valued at 470000 rubles per year. This method of adjusting spare parts stock level norms is applicable to both service and operational enterprises.

About the Authors

Yu. D. Ishkin
Industrial University of Tyumen
Russian Federation

Yuri D. Ishkin, Postgraduate in the Department of Road Transport Operation

Tyumen



N. S. Zakharov
Industrial University of Tyumen
Russian Federation

Nikolay S. Zakharov, Dr. Sci. (Engineering), Professor, Head of the Department of Automative Service and Technological Machinery

Tyumen



A. V. Rassokhin
LLC "TyumenAutoLuch"
Russian Federation

Alexander V. Rassokhin, Engineer

Tyumen



E. G. Ishkina
Industrial University of Tyumen
Russian Federation

Elena G. Ishkina, Cand. Sci. (Engineering), Associate Professor, Associate Professor in the Department of Mechanical Engineering Technology

Tyumen



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For citations:


Ishkin Yu.D., Zakharov N.S., Rassokhin A.V., Ishkina E.G. The impact of seasonality on spare part demand for automobiles. Architecture, Construction, Transport. 2025;5(1):102-111. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.31660/2782-232X-2025-1-102-111. EDN: NUUAJS

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ISSN 2782-232X (Print)
ISSN 2713-0770 (Online)